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Could 2010 Result In A Noynoy Aquino-Loren Legarda Victory, And The Reemergence Of The Two-Pary System?

December 22, 2009

I’d have wanted to write about non-political issues as 2009 draws to a close.

But this latest Pulse Asia dipstick of the upcoming presidential elections cannot escape scrutiny given how the now shorter list of presidential and vice presidential aspirants could indicate the re-emergence of the Philippines’ grand old parties as the main protegonists in the 2010 polls.

The tickets of the Liberal, and Nacionalista Party, respectively, are pulling away from the other pairings wooing Filipino voters.

But the gap that separates the Noynoy Aquino-Mar Roxas tandem, and the Manny Villar-Loren twin bill is narrowing.

If the trend continues, the face off between them could very well signal the re-emergence of a working two-party system for the Philippines with was killed off by the 20-year-long Marcos dictatorship.

And you know what’s most telling?

Given their respective numbers, methinks there is a real prospect of the LP and NP ‘sharing the post Gloria Arroyo executive department with Sen. Noynoy Aquino winning the presidency, and Sen. Loren Legarda succeeding in her second attempt at becoming Vice President, succeeding her arch foe, outgoing VP Noli De Castro.

While no one should count out Mar Roxas don’t forget that Legarda is, in her own right, a certified vote getter (Ihaving been no. 1 Senator twice) apart from her undeniable hold on the female votee and perhaps among Filipinos passionate about the environment.

Closely examine the December tables of Pulse Asia:

You have the eldest son of heroes Ninoy and Cory Aquino enjoying a double figure advantage over his rival, NP president and billionaire Manny Villar (who’s also been Senate President and Speaker of the House of Representatives).

Mr. Villar’s ratings have even been creeping up despite being embroiled in the C-5 budget scandal and his reticence at participating in the presidential forums.

Pulse Asia’s Table 4, on the other hand, has late entrant Legarda in a statistical tie with LP President Mar Roxas who’d been all set to run for President until Aquino was ‘prodded’ to run for the top elective post in the aftermath of  his mother’s death.

The next 5 months thus promise an exciting mano-a-mano on the campaign trail between the LP and NP standards bearers, not to mention other personalities like the come-backing former President Joseph Estrada, ex defense chief and administration bet Gilbert Teodoro and Red Cross boss, Sen. Richard Gordon (and others) hoping to be the spoilers.


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