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Villar Now Breathing Down Aquino’s Neck

January 9, 2010

There now appears to be further defining statistical proof that the elections on May 10 has turned into a two-man race.

The new data has the Liberal Party and Nacionalista Party standard bearers, Senator Benigno ‘Noynoy’ Aquino III and Senator Manuel ‘Manny’ Villar,  uppermost in voters’ minds.

The new Social Weather Stations dipstick raises eyebrow as the data shows Mr. Villar now just 11 percentage point behind Aquino on the eve of the official 3-month campaign period.

Sen. Villar commissioned this post-Christmas survey done by the Social Weather Stations.

So it’s not surprising that the Aquino camp will be downplaying its veracity.

As the Philippine Daily Inquire reports:

Aquino was the choice of 44 percent of 2,100 respondents across the country in the SWS special yearend survey conducted from Dec. 27 to 28, 2009.
Villar obtained 33 percent, narrowing the gap with Aquino to 11 percent, and improving his ratings from the 27 percent he got in the earlier Dec. 5-10 SWS survey.
The survey was privately commissioned by House Minority Leader San Juan Rep. Ronaldo Zamora, a Villar ally, and was released to Senate reporters by Villar’s office.
A statement issued by Villar’s office said the senator “seems to have benefited from the shift in voting preference over the last three weeks in December as respondents start to put a premium on proven competence, leadership and accomplishments.”
A comparison of the two surveys showed that Villar had added six percentage points in the three weeks between the two survey dates.
Aquino obtained 46 percent in the earlier survey, leading Villar by 19 percentage points.
Deposed president Joseph Estrada remained in third place but shed one percentage point in the new SWS survey to 15 percent, from his previous 16 percent.
In fourth place was Lakas-Kampi-CMD candidate Gilbert Teodoro, Aquino’s cousin, whose performance remained at 5 percent, similar to his December 5-10 rating.
Evangelist Bro. Eddie Villanueva’s ratings also did not move at 1 percent.
The independent candidates continued to lag behind.
Sen. Richard Gordon scored 0.5 percent from his earlier 0.9 percent, while Sen. Jamby Madrigal and John Carlos de los Reyes of Kapatiran tied with 0.4 percent each from their previous 0.2 percent and 0.1 percent, respectively.
From four percent in the earlier survey, only 1 percent of the respondents in the Dec. 27-28 survey were undecided.

I think Villar’s vastly improved rating is a red flag for the Liberal Party, and its candidate to more effectively ‘evangelize’, to roll out their touted platform to bring a new day to Philippine politics and the Filipino nation.

These past three weeks the Villar camp, to its credit, has unveiled multi-pronged initiatives to court the voters in the lower income brackets: the economically and socially-marginalized.

The new TV and radio ads of the NP standard bearer focus rightly on grinding poverty as the issue and Villar as the candidate with the intimate experience, and track record, at overcoming poverty.

In contrast, Aquino is expending his political capital, mainly drawn from his late parents’ heroic legacies, by failing to speak out purposively on the socio-ecponomic issues and the Arroyo regime’s unresolved sins, past and continuing.

Villar has all but erased public memory of his alleged role in the C-5 double budget entry and tangent issues.

No wonder he’s now breathing down Aquino’s neck despite being considered by critics nd even administration insiders as the ‘real Arroyo candidate’ and ideological ally.

Noynoy may still be leading in the survey but as the adage goes: it ain’t over till the fat lady sings.

One Comment leave one →
  1. January 19, 2010 11:27 pm

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